Polymarket Trader

0xc4b2...9a9b

0xc4b2930b0feb1c0fab13c0b75c9fef34fea09a9b

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $22.42K
Realized PnL: $52.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $1M
User PnL: -$5.05K

No position

Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26K
Potential profit: $32.26K
User PnL: -$322.63

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $397.14
Potential payout: $26.48K
Potential profit: $26.08K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$3.51K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.22K
Potential profit: $8.22K
User PnL: -$2.52K

Yes position

Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.61K
Potential profit: $6.61K
User PnL: -$1.57K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $5.3K
User PnL: -$2.04K

No position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $3.13K
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $25.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.97K
Potential profit: $4.97K
User PnL: -$1.6K

No position

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.82K
Potential profit: $4.82K
User PnL: -$1.45K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.68K
Potential profit: $4.68K
User PnL: -$3.11K

Yes position

Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.41K
Potential profit: $4.41K
User PnL: -$1.66K

No position

Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.37K
Potential profit: $4.37K
User PnL: -$1.38K

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61.4%
Current value: $2.52K
Potential payout: $4.11K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$1.04K

No position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.06K
Potential profit: $4.06K
User PnL: -$3.38K

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $3.77K
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $28.49
User PnL: $693.29

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $3.63K
User PnL: -$634.26

No position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.2K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $16.06
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will Team Falcons win CS Asia Championships 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$1.29K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 42.6%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $251.84

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3.02K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$904.77

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2.99K
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $28.7
User PnL: $1.43K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $5.59
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $2.43K
User PnL: -$1.65K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $2.29K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $58.79
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $599.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65K

Yes position

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89K

No position

Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38K

No position

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17K

No position

Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65K

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

No position

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

No position

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

No position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

No position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

No position

Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

No position

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $982.97

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $964.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 500,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 400,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 33,333.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 66,666.67 shares
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 62% 167.7 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 34% 50 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 29.8% 269.77 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 51.1% 983.8 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 30% 493.13 shares
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?

No 32% 21.89 shares
Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

No 33.2% 1,028.41 shares
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 62% 33.32 shares