No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$19
Polymarket Trader
generationY
0xc4b7cf49390076ed8357acc65b0e852abe77df04
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.75
- Realized PnL
- $4.51
- Win rate
- 95.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $37.75
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Netflix reach $455 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 16, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Chow Hang‑tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
P2P FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Up position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July?No 99.4% 30 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 98.4% 78 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?No 99.7% 67 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 5?No 99.9% 8.99 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 3.8% 15 shares
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?No 99.9% 56 shares
- Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?No 99.9% 215.12 shares
- P2P FDV above $80M one day after launch?No 99.9% 92.19 shares
- Will Netflix reach $455 in March?No 99.6% 91 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 7?No 99.7% 73 shares
- Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 16, 2026?No 99.8% 130 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?No 99.9% 56 shares