Polymarket Trader

lievre

0xc4ba51d42463746b6cf4231cd2c9484afa7268fa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $202.14
Realized PnL: $24.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460.99
Potential profit: $460.99
User PnL: -$32.92

No position

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399
Potential profit: $399
User PnL: -$29.89

No position

Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.29
Potential profit: $349.29
User PnL: -$33.62

No position

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $198.58
Potential payout: $235
Potential profit: $36.43
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $162.18

No position

Will Dow (DOW) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.99
Potential profit: $223.99
User PnL: -$48.88

No position

Will Honeywell International (HON) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.08
Potential profit: $220.08
User PnL: -$39.08

No position

Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $135
User PnL: -$10.8

No position

Will SS&C Technologies (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $112
User PnL: -$10.84

No position

Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.16
Potential profit: $87.16
User PnL: -$16.19

No position

Will Mercantile Bank (MBWM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.99
Potential profit: $86.99
User PnL: -$14.88

No position

Will Union Pacific (UNP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.81
Potential profit: $30.81
User PnL: -$11.01

Yes position

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $19.44
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$13.51

No position

Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$6.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91K

Yes position

Will "Marty Supreme" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4K

No position

Will PulteGroup (PHM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14K

No position

Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

No position

Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

No position

Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

No position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $935

No position

Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $707.36

No position

Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $627.82

No position

Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.77

Team WE position

League of Legends: Team WE vs. Anyone's Legend

Ends Aug 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395

Yes position

"The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is 90% or higher?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.36

No position

Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310

Yes position

EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.08

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.99

No position

Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.99

No position

Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during events with Turkish president on September 25?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.08

Yes position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209

No position

Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $204.63

Dplus KIA position

League of Legends: Dplus KIA Challengers vs. Nongshim Esports Academy

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201

No position

Will Taylor Swift say "Tour" 2+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.75

No position

Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.53

No position

Will Trump say "Trump" during events with Turkish president on September 25?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.61

Yes position

GPT transaction fees by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?

Yes 82% 5 shares
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 13.7% 77 shares
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)

Yes 72% 50 shares
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)

Yes 72% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)

Yes 19% 45.45 shares
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)

No 20% 87 shares
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)

Yes 80% 35 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

No 3% 1,454.08 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

No 9% 1,000 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

No 17.4% 1,407.25 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

No 63% 2,000 shares
Will US Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 83% 50 shares