shenyongshen

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$28.28

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $497.48
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Drake have exactly 10 songs in the Billboard top 10?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $189
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.9
Potential profit: $175.9
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $8.42
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $161.59
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$3.49

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.97
Potential profit: $130.97
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Drake have exactly 8 songs in the Billboard top 10?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.91
Potential profit: $129.91
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ebola" or "COVID" during Cabinet meeting?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $109.5
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$8.39

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.5
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Vexa position

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Vexa (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.29

Yes position

Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.86

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.96

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $27.86

Yes position

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.52

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $17.42

Yes position

Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.84

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Implied probability: 83.1%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $14.76

Yes position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $7.48

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $3.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

magic position

Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $2.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $1.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

9z position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?