Polymarket Trader

mircobiom

0xc4c05ddf96698db75b6aecd9f489dc0e4162f6ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.98
Realized PnL: $25.21
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $32.14
Potential profit: $22.17
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $5.86

No position

Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $12.43
Potential payout: $13.42
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $8.92
Potential payout: $13.41
Potential profit: $4.49
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $11.1
Potential profit: $6.27
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $10.24
Potential profit: $6.19
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $7.03
Potential profit: $1.97
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $5.59
Potential profit: $1.29
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $5.53
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will New Zealand win?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.58

No position

Will Frank Ocean release a new song before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22

Parry position

Set 1 Winner: Li vs Parry

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

No position

Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

No position

Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Los Angeles Thieves position

Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Toronto Raptors?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Exact Score: Austria 0 - 0 Jordan?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Under position

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will it Snow in Seattle this December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Aurora position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Frank Ocean release a new song before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$0.03

Emma Navarro position

Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Ecuador leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

Los Angeles Thieves position

Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Cloud9 New York - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

No 80.9% 5.21 shares
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?

No 42% 5.12 shares
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?

No 42% 5.12 shares
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5

Under 95% 1.8 shares
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

No 83% 5.05 shares
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Yes 33% 5.42 shares
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Yes 28% 5.43 shares
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Yes 30% 5.53 shares
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Yes 30% 5.57 shares
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 3 Winner

Los Angeles Thieves 80% 5.09 shares
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Cloud9 New York - Game 2 Winner

Los Angeles Thieves 70% 5.05 shares
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Cloud9 New York - Game 2 Winner

Los Angeles Thieves 72% 5.06 shares