Polymarket Trader

0xc4CB893abc84d6b7D050E1E68aFbcb8b976E0E7E-1775032786562

0xc4cb893abc84d6b7d050e1e68afbcb8b976e0e7e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.07
Realized PnL: $292.56
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.82
Potential profit: $371.82
User PnL: -$10.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.25
Potential profit: $253.25
User PnL: -$2.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $42.3
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $137.7
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$40.1

Yes position

Will Praggnanandhaa R win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.43
Potential profit: $59.43
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.39
Potential profit: $30.39
User PnL: -$2.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.59

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.91

Yes position

Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.87

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 32% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 33% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 33% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 33% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 35% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 36% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 39% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 44% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 37% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 64% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 3% 33.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 40.4 shares