Polymarket Trader

rdba

0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.01M
Realized PnL: $1.33M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $478.57K
Potential payout: $3.01M
Potential profit: $2.53M
Multiplier: 6.29x
User PnL: -$1.03M

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $2.53M
Potential payout: $3.01M
Potential profit: $478.26K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.03M

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.65K
Potential profit: $386.65K
User PnL: -$8.96K

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $372.75K
Potential profit: $372.75K
User PnL: -$7.76K

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.89K
Potential profit: $369.89K
User PnL: -$7.47K

Yes position

Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.89K
Potential profit: $369.89K
User PnL: -$7.47K

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.89K
Potential profit: $369.89K
User PnL: -$7.47K

Yes position

Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.89K
Potential profit: $369.89K
User PnL: -$7.47K

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.89K
Potential profit: $369.89K
User PnL: -$7.47K

Yes position

Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.89K
Potential profit: $369.89K
User PnL: -$7.47K

Yes position

Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.89K
Potential profit: $369.89K
User PnL: -$7.47K

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.89K
Potential profit: $369.89K
User PnL: -$7.47K

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.89K
Potential profit: $369.89K
User PnL: -$7.47K

Yes position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.89K
Potential profit: $369.89K
User PnL: -$7.47K

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.86K
Potential profit: $365.86K
User PnL: -$7.44K

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.22K
Potential profit: $365.22K
User PnL: -$7.42K

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $359.65K
Potential profit: $359.65K
User PnL: -$7.31K

Yes position

Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $355.09K
Potential profit: $355.09K
User PnL: -$7.17K

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.1K
Potential profit: $350.1K
User PnL: -$7.12K

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.58K
Potential profit: $349.58K
User PnL: -$6.99K

Yes position

Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.55K
Potential profit: $304.55K
User PnL: -$14.81K

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.55K
Potential profit: $304.55K
User PnL: -$14.81K

Yes position

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.55K
Potential profit: $304.55K
User PnL: -$14.81K

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.55K
Potential profit: $304.55K
User PnL: -$14.81K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.49K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.53K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $134.13K

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.22K

Yes position

Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.99K

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.27K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.28K

Athletics position

Athletics vs. Rays

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.78K

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.28K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.34K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.05K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.95K

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.21K

No position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.07K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.14K

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.05K

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.7K

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.47K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.33K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.23K

No position

Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.02K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.09K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 97.5% 49,465.34 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?

No 98.5% 7,520.81 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?

Yes 6% 12,881.11 shares
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jodar (+2.5)

Zverev 99.9% 11 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

No 47% 20,401.95 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

No 97.8% 40,607.7 shares
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

No 75.6% 4,676.21 shares
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.1% 101,059.65 shares
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.1% 209,343.87 shares
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.1% 6,070 shares
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.1% 114,928.28 shares
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 14% 126.38 shares