Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $49.09
- Potential payout
- $3.64K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $9.09
Polymarket Trader
sinobili-io
0xc4dae0f0cc906487597ecc568f9b396750cf6482
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.09
- Realized PnL
- $260.76
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $823.42
- Potential profit
- $823.42
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.29
- Potential profit
- $263.29
- User PnL
- -$10
Timberwolves position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.91
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.06
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.46
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.7
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.85
No position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.71
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.1% 3,636.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown 71% 70.46 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes 12% 333.33 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Yes 4.9% 823.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp 98% 13.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp 74% 13.51 shares
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers 39% 76.92 shares
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves 36% 138.89 shares
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares
- QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No 3.8% 263.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 29% 142.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 28% 142.86 shares