Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$300.72
Polymarket Trader
ChristopherKirk1630
0xc4e3d5eebe570a7e45e6d98b55bf9afb18a65907
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.29K
- Realized PnL
- $1.51K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump post "Ballroom" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$354.42
Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $603.57
- Potential payout
- $634
- Potential profit
- $30.43
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $91.93
Yes position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $181.26
- Potential payout
- $342
- Potential profit
- $160.74
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $109.44
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322
- Potential profit
- $322
- User PnL
- -$141.68
No position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $266.9
- Potential payout
- $314
- Potential profit
- $47.1
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $69.08
No position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $310
- User PnL
- -$124
Yes position
Will Trump post "Son" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $278
- Potential profit
- $278
- User PnL
- -$61.16
No position
Will Trump say "Macron" or "France" during events with Rutte?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $207
- Potential payout
- $207
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $142.83
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $20.21
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $65.79
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$21.07
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $13.97
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$5.17
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 14 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$6.08
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.14
No position
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $205.74
Yes position
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $117.6
Yes position
Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.59
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $109.83
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 15 be greater than 2,800,000?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.2
Yes position
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $99.77
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.12
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 300k and 400k?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.2
Yes position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $47.76
Yes position
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.28
Yes position
Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.02
Yes position
Will Trump post "Ceasefire" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.06
Yes position
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.16
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $19.2
Yes position
Remote IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $11.82
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $8.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "Homan" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Black Mirror win Best Producer of a TV Limited or Anthology Series at the 37th PGA Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 45% 28 shares
- Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?No 77% 42 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?No 21% 295 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?No 21% 620 shares
- Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 80% 41 shares
- Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 80% 179 shares
- Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 80% 180 shares
- Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 80% 20 shares
- Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?No 83% 42 shares
- Will Trump say "Macron" or "France" during events with Rutte?No 31% 207 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?No 36% 915 shares
- Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 63% 734 shares