Polymarket Trader

17656765676567

0xc4e956be24cf0467687cf2a94c7fae9dd13ccba2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.67
Realized PnL: $224.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $380.58
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $329.2
Potential profit: $329.2
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $13.06
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $98.06
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$6.94

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

No position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $20.85
Potential payout: $85.1
Potential profit: $64.25
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$9.15

Yes position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $14.18
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $57.25
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$5.82

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $12.57
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $54.1
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: -$7.43

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.22
Potential profit: $65.22
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $17.99
Potential payout: $46.3
Potential profit: $28.31
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $7.99

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.04
Potential profit: $15.04
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.96
Potential profit: $7.96
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.99

Yes position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

Yes position

Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.74

No position

Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during victory rally?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Yes position

Will Trump pardon 1,250-1,499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Yes position

Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

No position

Will Trump say "Kamala" 5 or more times during victory rally?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?

17% 2.83 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

8.5% 11.47 shares
Spread: Egypt (-1.5) AND Spread: Morocco (-1.5) AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

2.7% 35.93 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

0.3% 323.33 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

26% 7.5 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04?

5.4% 36.19 shares
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

No 59% 15.15 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

4% 20.5 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

0.8% 119.89 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

2.2% 89.4 shares
Spread: Egypt (-1.5) AND Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5) AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

1% 194 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.6% 46.3 shares