Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.41K
- Potential profit
- $5.41K
- User PnL
- -$5.41
Polymarket Trader
0xc4f1C123Aa9cFe2Bd3AED4b7BE25fc1224F81Ec9-1768187055296
0xc4f1c123aa9cfe2bd3aed4b7be25fc1224f81ec9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84
- Realized PnL
- $580.42
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $3.61K
- User PnL
- -$10.82
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $497.27
- Potential profit
- $497.27
- User PnL
- -$5.47
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $352.32
- Potential profit
- $352.32
- User PnL
- -$104.61
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $315
- Potential profit
- $315
- User PnL
- -$2.52
No position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $44.44
- Potential payout
- $303.33
- Potential profit
- $258.9
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $34.43
Yes position
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.69
- Potential profit
- $156.69
- User PnL
- -$5.15
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.58
- Potential profit
- $148.58
- User PnL
- -$17.83
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.66
- Potential profit
- $142.66
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $103.23
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$7.34
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $28.73
- Potential payout
- $71.82
- Potential profit
- $43.09
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$16.87
Yes position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.47
- Potential profit
- $65.47
- User PnL
- -$9.82
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $53.4
- Potential profit
- $49.93
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$7.11
Yes position
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.78
- Potential profit
- $52.78
- User PnL
- -$4.75
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.57
- Potential profit
- $42.57
- User PnL
- -$9.79
Yes position
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.12
- Potential profit
- $40.12
- User PnL
- -$10.43
Yes position
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $39.64
- Potential profit
- $38.05
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.79
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $32.13
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.15
- Potential profit
- $31.15
- User PnL
- -$10.59
Yes position
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.46
- Potential profit
- $29.46
- User PnL
- -$21.21
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.45
- Potential profit
- $29.45
- User PnL
- -$10.63
Yes position
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.55
- Potential profit
- $27.55
- User PnL
- -$10.45
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.96
- Potential profit
- $24.96
- User PnL
- -$12.48
Yes position
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.66
- Potential profit
- $24.66
- User PnL
- -$15.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.9
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.96
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.55
Yes position
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.3
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.42
No position
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.36
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.01
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.51
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.32
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
Yes position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $3.65
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No 3.3% 303.33 shares
- Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.1% 102.8 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes 2.5% 7.9 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 47% 10.51 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 5,410 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 3,606.67 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursSpurs 5% 24.35 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursSpurs 65% 24.35 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 9% 38.88 shares
- Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?Yes 29.1% 58.07 shares
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.7% 383.52 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 64% 35.64 shares