Polymarket Trader

0xcd4313426311739ffee5aced9e352f209f801b46

0xc4f8cb329ea0637fd26ca0d600392c50a5ac8a4a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18K
Realized PnL: -$6.29K
Win rate: 14.3%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.03K
Potential profit: $73.03K
User PnL: -$3.15K

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $551.08
Potential payout: $64.83K
Potential profit: $64.28K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $197.29

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $309.07
Potential payout: $56.19K
Potential profit: $55.89K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.15K

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $8.36K
Potential payout: $45.2K
Potential profit: $36.84K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $787.24

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $151.66
Potential payout: $43.33K
Potential profit: $43.18K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$417.73

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $6.76K
Potential payout: $38.66K
Potential profit: $31.89K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $567.31

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $954
Potential payout: $36K
Potential profit: $35.05K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$2.19K

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $429.66
Potential payout: $29.63K
Potential profit: $29.2K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$796.98

Yes position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $481.4
Potential payout: $18.52K
Potential profit: $18.03K
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$2.36K

No position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9K
Potential profit: $11.9K
User PnL: -$590.85

Yes position

Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$150

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$1.35K

No position

Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.02K
Potential profit: $6.02K
User PnL: -$2.34K

Yes position

Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$1.47K

Yes position

Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$249.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.65K
Potential profit: $4.65K
User PnL: -$697.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$403.3

Yes position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$321.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $965.68
Potential profit: $965.68
User PnL: -$505.34

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.86
Potential profit: $304.86
User PnL: -$94.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $124.71

Yes position

Will the fight end in Round 5?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$166.5

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$352.63

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$759.82

Yes position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$895

Yes position

Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.15K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.9% 1,001.45 shares
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 0.7% 5,400.95 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 6% 3,387.22 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 2.4% 15,953 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 6% 3,000 shares
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 2.8% 6,683.13 shares
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 2.2% 272.37 shares
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.1% 470 shares
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Yes 16% 500 shares
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Yes 15% 15 shares
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 8% 5,000 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 15% 452.51 shares