Polymarket Trader

0xc4f8...b9ee

0xc4f8eb7e57c126b5f1dc8c25884a52290742b9ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $187.63
Realized PnL: $61.44
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $201
Potential profit: $190.77
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.9%
Current value: $30.48
Potential payout: $90.04
Potential profit: $59.56
Multiplier: 2.95x
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $38.58
Potential payout: $68.3
Potential profit: $29.72
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30.2%
Current value: $19.42
Potential payout: $64.31
Potential profit: $44.89
Multiplier: 3.31x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $56.22
Potential payout: $56.25
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $26.97

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $32.7
Potential payout: $49.17
Potential profit: $16.47
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$11.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.07

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.04

Yes position

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.07

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.99

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $3.45

No position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22

Yes position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.36

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 67% 1 shares
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 76% 50 shares
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 77.3% 148.84 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Yes 52% 56.25 shares
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 42% 49.8 shares
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41% 23.8 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 44% 68.3 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36.9% 27.1 shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41% 47.61 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 31.1% 64.31 shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 42% 47.62 shares
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 41% 86.37 shares