Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $17.8
Polymarket Trader
Niklaus956
0xc4ff892b287ee62e506b32fe14302adcfc0af480
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $68.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $3.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $17.8
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Solana reach $340 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 157.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 169 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 78% 23 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.3% 101 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 18% 327 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 86% 141 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 88% 141 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 58% 17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 56% 236 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 15% 372 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 14% 372 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6% 6 shares