Polymarket Trader

OrthogonalVol

0xc50459ea189e62507ec43055827d85af07697a4c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.68K
Realized PnL: $15.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.75K
Potential profit: $6.75K
User PnL: -$19.43

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76K
Potential profit: $4.76K
User PnL: -$33.1

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $963.76
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$500.82

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.44K
User PnL: -$115.29

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $606.41
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$56.66

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $347.25
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$35.74

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $159.39
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $313.33

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $95.36
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $153.19

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $91.03
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $237.37

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $80.47
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $137.93

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $94.99
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $204.45

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$640.74

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$62.92

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$9.45

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $40.04
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $129.66

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$8.62

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $20.69
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $113.85

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $123.12
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $385.28

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$194.13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$11.77

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $627.11
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $523.55
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$51.47

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$21.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $991.67

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $867.34

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $845.44

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $737.34

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $647.6

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $616.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.06

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $606.83

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $579.09

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $554.09

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $534.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $508.85

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500.47

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $476.68

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.9

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.65

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.26

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.78

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.63

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.54

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 599.99 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 400 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 76% 1,198.88 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 95.8% 1,690 shares
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks

Hawks 51% 386.39 shares
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)

Vanderbilt Commodores 46.9% 212.29 shares
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

Celtics 51% 150 shares
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

Celtics 51% 600 shares
Nuggets vs. Jazz

Nuggets 80% 10 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 26?

Yes 75% 152 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?

Yes 56% 250 shares
Spurs vs. Pistons

Spurs 49% 204.08 shares