Polymarket Trader

0xc50cf7bfEd7DA23ae360E16019292F144c2Ca08F-1769937645122

0xc50cf7bfed7da23ae360e16019292f144c2ca08f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.28
Realized PnL: $293.25
Win rate: 95.5%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $22.93
Potential payout: $241.39
Potential profit: $218.46
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.07

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.42
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.86

No position

Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.92
Potential profit: $45.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.42
Potential profit: $42.42
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Anduril IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.62
Potential payout: $34.51
Potential profit: $30.89
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$6.38

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $30.52
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$6.03

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $21.05
Potential payout: $28.06
Potential profit: $7.02
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $11.05

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $5.57
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $17.16
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$4.43

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $12.35
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.95

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.18

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.13

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.63

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.66

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$1.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 54% 18.52 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 78% 25.64 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 43% 23.26 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 57% 52.63 shares
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

No 21.8% 45.92 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 80% 12.5 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 85% 11.76 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 43% 23.26 shares