Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
realjezza
0xc517fe4abf31de76a0757631e2b7a07398cc3491
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.56
- Realized PnL
- $360.8
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$347.72
No position
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $403.23
- Potential profit
- $403.23
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.77
- Potential profit
- $399.77
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $339.84
- Potential profit
- $339.84
- User PnL
- -$98.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $324.27
- Potential profit
- $324.27
- User PnL
- -$49.79
Yes position
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $19.38
- Potential payout
- $317.66
- Potential profit
- $298.29
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$30.62
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.14
- Potential profit
- $299.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $236.25
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$46.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242.7
- Potential profit
- $242.7
- User PnL
- -$10.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.41
- Potential profit
- $109.41
- User PnL
- -$49.23
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.74
- Potential profit
- $94.74
- User PnL
- -$18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.98
- Potential profit
- $28.98
- User PnL
- -$10.92
No position
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $7.56
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.35
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$10.53
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$28.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp 15.4% 322.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown 45% 107.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETDown 21% 235.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp 51.2% 189.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETDown 97% 100.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETDown 99.8% 100.23 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 33% 217.39 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.2% 585 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp 30% 1,146.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp 30% 325.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp 29.1% 336.19 shares