No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$532.94
Polymarket Trader
0xc52f...0981
0xc52fead8edac49825f5c52aff6e63cd331980981
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $4.64K
- Realized PnL
- $5.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $80.18
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$128.43
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $34.73
- Potential payout
- $780.41
- Potential profit
- $745.68
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$18.62
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $191.25
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $558.75
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$168.75
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $27.76
- Potential payout
- $639.54
- Potential profit
- $611.78
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$33.3
No position
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $354
- Potential payout
- $610.34
- Potential profit
- $256.34
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $51
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $549
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $320.87
- Potential payout
- $563.03
- Potential profit
- $242.16
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$19.1
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $389.97
- Potential payout
- $541.63
- Potential profit
- $151.66
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $29.97
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $168.6
- Potential payout
- $535.25
- Potential profit
- $366.65
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$71.39
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $371.34
- Potential payout
- $519.35
- Potential profit
- $148.01
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $13.86
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $267.83
- Potential payout
- $500.62
- Potential profit
- $232.79
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $27.84
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $223.89
- Potential payout
- $471.34
- Potential profit
- $247.45
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$16.11
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $371.43
- Potential payout
- $458.56
- Potential profit
- $87.13
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $12.89
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $349.36
- Potential payout
- $408.61
- Potential profit
- $59.25
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $8.86
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $280.62
- Potential payout
- $350.77
- Potential profit
- $70.15
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $7.02
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $281.71
- Potential payout
- $286
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $65.69
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $114.23
- Potential payout
- $230.77
- Potential profit
- $116.54
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$5.77
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $208.72
- Potential payout
- $224.43
- Potential profit
- $15.71
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $59.4
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $89.71
- Potential payout
- $174.2
- Potential profit
- $84.49
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $138.99
- Potential payout
- $151.9
- Potential profit
- $12.91
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $18.99
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $144.41
- Potential payout
- $150.03
- Potential profit
- $5.63
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $30.93
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $107.41
- Potential payout
- $146.13
- Potential profit
- $38.72
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $75.26
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $75.83
- Potential payout
- $79.99
- Potential profit
- $4.16
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $455.98
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451.13
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.51
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.94
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $359.88
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $295.7
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $230.64
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.91
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.77
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.66
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.15
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.85
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.02
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.26
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $140.88
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.2
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $127.61
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.84
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.08
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.72
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.43
BNK FEARX position
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers 99.9% 157.46 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 35.4% 27.6 shares
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 4 WinnerT1 Academy 99.9% 65.2 shares
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 4 WinnerT1 Academy 59.7% 50.08 shares
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers 71% 80 shares
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers 99.9% 36.04 shares
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerT1 Academy 64% 62.36 shares
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerT1 Academy 64% 93.75 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Yes 32% 78.83 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 92.7% 17.36 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 92.7% 25.89 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 90.6% 10 shares