Polymarket Trader

0x4A2d3bDd5fa5A5C499B45FF653407Eb8bE1Dd3A3-1774466939546

0xc5310f8bf609dd1f5c18c740aae0d3224a139bda

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $622.44
Realized PnL: $3.58
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $585.17
Potential payout: $167.19K
Potential profit: $166.61K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $29.59

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.57
Potential profit: $649.57
User PnL: -$209.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $493.78
Potential profit: $493.78
User PnL: -$21.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $37.27
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $144.55
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$2.73

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $136.36
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.8

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $28.22

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.1%
Multiplier: 4.54x
User PnL: $3.14

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$6.35

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 22% 90.91 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 3.4% 294.12 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Yes 48.8% 100 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 43.8% 114.16 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 22% 90.91 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 61.5% 81.3 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Yes 20% 100 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 61.9% 160 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.4% 9,418.19 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 3,800 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.6% 3,079.84 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 1,200 shares