No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $6.88
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $9.12
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
0xc536...44ed
0xc536369b28a5c830cdf25a0ac8b0b414471544ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $38.49
- Realized PnL
- -$5.67
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $8.39
- Potential payout
- $12.81
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $10.88
- Potential payout
- $12.65
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $2.26
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $10.52
- Potential profit
- $5.42
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.2%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $7.03
- Potential profit
- $5.97
- Multiplier
- 6.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Y
Yes position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.83
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 22.9% 7.03 shares
- Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 79% 12.81 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 65% 7.62 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 70% 7.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 47% 18 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No 85% 12.65 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 74% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 44% 2.7 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 22% 11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 33% 10.15 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 21% 6.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 76% 10.13 shares