Polymarket Trader

0xc547...c82d

0xc547118d3704944dbd79726431ede04feeeec82d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $62.45
Realized PnL: $20.65
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $122.95
Potential profit: $120.32
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $3.91
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $100.26
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.4
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $30.54
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $29.61
Potential profit: $27.25
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $28.53
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $21.71
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $21.88
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $21.28
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.23
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.83

Up position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.91
Potential payout: $16.89
Potential profit: $4.98
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $13.58
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $12.22
Potential profit: $11.15
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.06
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.14
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $5.64
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $5.81
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.35
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $7.35
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $5.59
Potential profit: $4.3
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $2.24
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $1.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Multiplier: 11.63x
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 14?

Up 83% 14.45 shares
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Yes 12.2% 45.04 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?

Yes 31% 3.23 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?

Yes 36% 2.78 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?

Yes 41% 2.44 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?

Yes 51% 1.96 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?

Yes 76% 1.32 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 14?

No 4.9% 20.41 shares