No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $2.3
Polymarket Trader
0xC54727ccc40c332c8408e2951aB2949C9DA97404-1773609738274
0xc54727ccc40c332c8408e2951ab2949c9da97404
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.86
- Realized PnL
- $11.49
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.65
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.89
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?
Ends Dec 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $7.21
- Potential payout
- $14.57
- Potential profit
- $7.36
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $6.44
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $10.03
- Potential profit
- $3.56
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $9.9
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $6.26
- Potential payout
- $8.35
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
Yes position
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?
Ends Dec 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Jonas Sulzbach be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Juliano Floss win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.87
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 20 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.7% 20.41 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 16% 20 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 5% 20 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 31% 10 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No 59.5% 10 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 20% 7.8 shares
- Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No 35% 7.27 shares
- Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 28% 10 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No 58% 3.7 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 64% 7.4 shares
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 24% 10 shares