Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$196.55
Polymarket Trader
0xc54DD852Ab86e409C69667F6295780b753C88be1-1771136321154
0xc54dd852ab86e409c69667f6295780b753c88be1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $250.21
- Realized PnL
- $8.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $13.56
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$840.13
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $114.97
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$649.73
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $613
- Potential profit
- $613
- User PnL
- -$63.75
Yes position
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $103.49
- Potential payout
- $283.54
- Potential profit
- $180.05
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $48.69
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $10.94
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $5.92
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.78
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $935.86
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $929.62
Yes position
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.2
Yes position
ChatGPT Outage by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.57
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.45
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.21
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $444.78
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $382.58
Yes position
Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.31
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $194.53
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.46
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.06
No position
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.01
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.52
Yes position
Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.6
Yes position
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.18
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.19
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.1
Yes position
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.55
No position
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.71
Yes position
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.89
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp 11.4% 880.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp 10.4% 931.44 shares
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 82.4% 484.61 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes 31% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes 31% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes 31% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes 31% 5 shares