Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $14.32
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Polymarket Trader
0xc55d...fb4d
0xc55d8b869a162b50b494991c10da23843ab5fb4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $74.86
- Realized PnL
- $10.62
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $14.16
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $12.77
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $2.23
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $11.94
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $9.74
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $8.97
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.08
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.12
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.53
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $19.97
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7.77
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$20.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 94.8% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 85.9% 10 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 11 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 13% 16 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 8 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 96% 5 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 90% 11 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No 85% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 90.8% 5 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 92.5% 5 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 80% 5 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 67% 8 shares