Polymarket Trader

XIAO2025

0xc59a0afd780d2ec0571a905441268322a2e03e10

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $285.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

French election called by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.68
Potential profit: $122.68
User PnL: -$5

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.57
Potential profit: $13.57
User PnL: -$11

Tanzania Under-19s position

U19 World Cup: Afghanistan Under-19s vs Tanzania Under-19s

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.3

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

Medjedovic position

Australian Open Men's: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Notre Dame Fighting Irish position

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Tulane Green Wave position

Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

ALLINNERS position

Counter-Strike: Bebop vs ALLINNERS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group A

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.71
User PnL: -$2

Georgetown Hoyas position

Georgetown Hoyas vs. Villanova Wildcats

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Nets position

Nets vs. Knicks

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Celtics

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Pelicans position

Pistons vs. Pelicans

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Bucks position

Thunder vs. Bucks

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.93

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.13

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

La Salle Explorers position

Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorers

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

The Citadel Bulldogs position

Furman Paladins vs. The Citadel Bulldogs

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

los kogutos position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group C

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Spurs

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

KOLESIE position

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Ursa position

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Timberwolves

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 89.5% 6.49 shares
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 86% 10.86 shares
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 82% 6.57 shares
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No 90.1% 10.25 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Yes 94.2% 15.31 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

No 98.8% 30 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

No 99.6% 60 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

No 98.9% 100 shares
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

No 99.2% 200 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

No 99.2% 100 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Yes 90% 10 shares
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 76% 6.58 shares