No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $164.16
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $107.7
Polymarket Trader
0xC5A25C8997555763efcb66A3255587772e0F9981-1721675413617
0xc5a25c8997555763efcb66a3255587772e0f9981
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.75K
- Realized PnL
- $2.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $202.82
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $37.56
Yes position
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $512.3
- Potential profit
- $512.3
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $488.49
- Potential payout
- $509.37
- Potential profit
- $20.88
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $8.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $413.85
- Potential payout
- $472.97
- Potential profit
- $59.12
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $63.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $340.17
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $4.66
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $40.17
Yes position
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $264.62
- Potential profit
- $264.62
- User PnL
- -$43
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $252.09
- Potential payout
- $252.85
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- User PnL
- $8.09
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $223
- Potential payout
- $236.61
- Potential profit
- $13.6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $105.27
- Potential payout
- $160.71
- Potential profit
- $55.45
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $15.27
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $61.61
- Potential payout
- $62.97
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.52
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.39
No position
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.08
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.26
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.43
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.99
Yes position
Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.89
Red position
Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.33
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.85
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.14
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.1
Yes position
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.44
No position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.09
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- $46.6
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
No position
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.3
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $26.69
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.18
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $24.38
No position
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.34
Yes position
Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.39
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.36
No position
Will Red–Green Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 56% 160.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 74% 472.97 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 443.19 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 84% 1,502.38 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.3% 52.46 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.2% 10.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 87% 344.83 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 96.5% 252.85 shares
- Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?Yes 89.4% 111.82 shares
- Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?Yes 89.6% 111.57 shares
- Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?No 67.5% 740.5 shares
- Will Danish People’s Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?No 93.8% 172.71 shares