No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $6.33K
- Potential payout
- $7.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $622.65
Polymarket Trader
herandrei
0xc5a3b3c986058c3f2ba7f4332bbfcced9b10883a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.93K
- Realized PnL
- $15.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $3.07K
- Potential payout
- $3.55K
- Potential profit
- $478.99
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $583.37
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$676
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $947.16
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $87.99
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $412.79
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $24.81
- Potential payout
- $918.71
- Potential profit
- $893.9
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$575.19
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $620.48
- Potential payout
- $697.17
- Potential profit
- $76.69
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $155.56
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $406.63
- Potential payout
- $518
- Potential profit
- $111.37
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $250.09
No position
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $415.63
- Potential payout
- $456.74
- Potential profit
- $41.11
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $62.96
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $115.84
- Potential payout
- $278.45
- Potential profit
- $162.62
- Multiplier
- 2.40x
- User PnL
- $15.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $711.6
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $703.39
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $601.09
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.12
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.04
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.37
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.88
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.02
Yes position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.09
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.56
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.47
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.93
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.54
No position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.76
Yes position
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.82
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.84
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 35.9% 278.44 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 35.1% 2,445.54 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 66.8% 149.7 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 69.4% 144.02 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 67.4% 148.29 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 69.9% 1,430.17 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?No 88.8% 905.97 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 65% 496.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 345.05 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No 89% 232.38 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No 89% 309.83 shares
- Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?No 92.3% 255.62 shares