Polymarket Trader

Dow-Jones

0xc5a972a409a190f5a7c1079051f62795e9fe0c9a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $793.05
Realized PnL: $1.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $17.05
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$5.35

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$18.6

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $26.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $373.8
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $9.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $290.85
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $11.03
Potential payout: $225.09
Potential profit: $214.06
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $99.35
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $11.66
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $14.85
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $95.15
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $18.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $81.95
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $10.95

No position

Will Australia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $98.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.55
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $76.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $23.5
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.9%
Current value: $89.84
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $10.15
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $90.23
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: -$3.35

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $69.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $19.1

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $66.4
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $13.6
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $4

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.21
Potential profit: $73.21
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $39.54
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $30.46
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$4.66

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $15.41
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $51.59
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $6.03

MIBR position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $29.69
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $32.81
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.79

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.8

No position

Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.8

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.5

Rafael Jodar position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.82

Casper Ruud position

Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.29

No position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.93

No position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.3

Coco Gauff position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.83

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.8

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.15

Alejandro Tabilo position

Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovic

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.8

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.46

Yes position

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.81

Costa Rica position

Spread: Colombia (-2.5)

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.99

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.9

Coco Gauff position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierra

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.73

Alina Charaeva position

Dubrovnik: Lola Radivojevic vs Alina Charaeva

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.75

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.8

Yes position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.35

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.85

Marta Kostyuk position

Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.43

Yes position

Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.95

Victoria Mboko position

Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mboko

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Bosnia and Herzegovina 7% 35.71 shares
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

No 90% 12.65 shares
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

No 79% 12.66 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Bosnia and Herzegovina 20% 37.5 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Belgium 59.8% 8.36 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 11.4% 8.77 shares
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 16.3% 24.99 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 22% 10 shares
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 28% 17.86 shares
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 28% 7.14 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 25% 10 shares
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

MIBR 48% 62.5 shares