Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.06K
- Potential profit
- $19.06K
- User PnL
- -$45.86
Polymarket Trader
0xC5AEdfb4343C0120dA31F0518F327611b6914Cf1-1764611479131
0xc5aedfb4343c0120da31f0518f327611b6914cf1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.75
- Realized PnL
- $2.39K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.98K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.42
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$37.81
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.19K
- Potential profit
- $13.19K
- User PnL
- -$41.63
Yes position
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- User PnL
- -$16.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.79K
- Potential profit
- $11.79K
- User PnL
- -$38.19
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.84K
- Potential profit
- $10.84K
- User PnL
- -$84.45
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.5K
- Potential profit
- $9.5K
- User PnL
- -$10.03
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$15.89
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$10.21
Yes position
Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.49K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$14.61
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$8.77
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.95K
- Potential profit
- $4.95K
- User PnL
- -$10.03
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$6.94
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$8.95
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $3.83K
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.53K
- Potential profit
- $3.53K
- User PnL
- -$17.05
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$29.14
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$12.89
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- User PnL
- -$86.88
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Yes position
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.82
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.1
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.12
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.49
Yes position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.23
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $11.62
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.13
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.56
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $9.34
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.59
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $6.99
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Yes position
Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Up position
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes 84% 15.49 shares
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 3,500 shares
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 33% 80 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 33% 20 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No 1.1% 469.35 shares
- Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 6% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No 7% 200 shares
- Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 13% 100 shares