No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $5.45
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.19
Polymarket Trader
0xC5bA0d5bA5e1BC5b99E9495fE0Dc43f9B96D6b0D-1773641271093
0xc5ba0d5ba5e1bc5b99e9495fe0dc43f9b96d6b0d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.4
- Realized PnL
- $6.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.2
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Y
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 59% 3.05 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 97.3% 5.65 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 96.6% 5.45 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes 98.6% 1.71 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 55% 3.64 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.7% 1.39 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 38% 4.74 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No 99.3% 1.01 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 57% 4.39 shares
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes 94% 5.45 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.7% 4.22 shares