No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $3.66
- Potential payout
- $8.04
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Polymarket Trader
night133710bq
0xc5bc6e3bfc0d939e93179ddce419663af43b7a99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.95
- Realized PnL
- $1.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 46% 5 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 46% 3.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 39% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 42% 5.24 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 63% 5.08 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 45% 5 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 62% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 39% 5 shares