No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $437.47
- Potential profit
- $437.47
- User PnL
- -$292.8
Polymarket Trader
davidlecea
0xc5c93ddf68782595de74d112efdd3ea62d392c4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.85
- Realized PnL
- $123.01
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Current value
- $16.99
- Potential payout
- $116.77
- Potential profit
- $99.78
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- -$41.12
Yes position
Astronomer Divorce Parlay
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.65
- Potential profit
- $49.65
- User PnL
- -$4.87
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $38.86
- Potential payout
- $41.56
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.7
No position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.77
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.09
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.86
No position
Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.13
No position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.54
No position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Wealthfront IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Yes 49.8% 40 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 97.5% 43 shares
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?No 95.9% 60 shares
- Wealthfront IPO in 2025?No 1.8% 8.55 shares
- Astronomer Divorce ParlayYes 9.8% 49.65 shares
- Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?No 97.4% 5 shares
- Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No 90.1% 123 shares
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?No 85% 60 shares
- Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Yes 51% 40.99 shares
- Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No 90% 320.25 shares
- Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No 93% 243.09 shares
- Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No 80% 1.11 shares