Polymarket Trader

saeuggul

0xc5e006de59933f5ee0fe218dcec78d8da15da93c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $806.03
Realized PnL: $3.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $37.15
Potential payout: $906
Potential profit: $868.85
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$62.45

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $45.1
Potential payout: $820
Potential profit: $774.9
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$53.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $36.42
Potential payout: $662.26
Potential profit: $625.84
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$62.87

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $13.82
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $574.41
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $37.91
Potential payout: $541.52
Potential profit: $503.62
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$62.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $360
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $50.26
Potential payout: $300.96
Potential profit: $250.7
Multiplier: 5.99x
User PnL: -$84.74

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $27.55
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $176.53
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$72.45

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $73
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $127
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $37.92
Potential payout: $194.44
Potential profit: $156.53
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $2.92

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.36
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$9.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $92.65
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $40.68
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.06
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$9.06

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $95.87
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $21.78
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$4.13

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $99.44
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $12.92
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $47.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$36.84

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$36.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$36.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$36.84

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$36.84

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$36.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $611.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.68

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.7

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.94

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.85

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.34

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.96

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.38

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.6

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.6

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Down 90% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Down 80% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Down 74% 6.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Down 73% 6.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Up 50% 48 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Down 85% 9.8 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Down 51% 9.8 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Up 98% 1.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Down 52% 48 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Down 52% 7.29 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 6% 166.67 shares
Korea Republic to score first vs. Mexico?

Yes 33% 30.3 shares