0xc5eb...6269

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.4
Potential profit: $112.4
User PnL: -$16.4

Yes position

Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.98
Potential profit: $57.98
User PnL: -$8.57

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.8
Potential profit: $56.8
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.6
Potential profit: $55.6
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will Sirāt win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.4
Potential profit: $54.4
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.3
Potential profit: $53.3
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.3
Potential profit: $53.3
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $51.65
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $41.4
Potential profit: $39.12
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $19.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $20.2
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.6
Potential profit: $38.6
User PnL: -$6.1

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.6
Potential profit: $29.6
User PnL: -$3.55

No position

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.7
Potential profit: $26.7
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.5
Potential profit: $26.5
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.63
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$14.75

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.96
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.06

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.7
Potential profit: $24.7
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.9
Potential profit: $21.9
User PnL: -$3.72

Yes position

Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.52

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.7
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$7.1

No position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.7

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.89

Yes position

Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.4

Yes position

Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

NIP position

Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 2 Winner

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

Benjamin Bonzi position

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Knicks

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Tristan Schoolkate position

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Tristan Schoolkate vs Alex Bolt

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 2PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET