Polymarket Trader

whathaveidone

@whathaveldone

0xc5edd3837e58306e7937cfa2c034e34d41839374

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.78K
Realized PnL: $4.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $569.58
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $8.19K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$728.69

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $305.25
Potential payout: $6.71K
Potential profit: $6.4K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$484.24

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $581.89
Potential payout: $5.82K
Potential profit: $5.24K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$1.16K

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $604.53
Potential payout: $3.78K
Potential profit: $3.17K
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$1.01K

No position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $74.1
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $495.9

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $74.1
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$495.9

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $124
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $676
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$276

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $676
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $124
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $276

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $567
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$267

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $567
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $33
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $267

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $52.45
Potential payout: $437.1
Potential profit: $384.65
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$16.15

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $106.35
Potential payout: $434.07
Potential profit: $327.72
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$16.65

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $329.83
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $217.2
Potential profit: $214.59
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $7.78
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $179.72
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$7.22

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $176
Potential profit: $173.97
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $135.2
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.62
Potential profit: $122.62
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428.56

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $225.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.77

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.58

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.9

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.78

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.8

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.31

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.98

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.53

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $95.17

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.44

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.27

Yes position

Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.15

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.11

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $77.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Up 4% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Up 24% 4.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Down 85% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Down 18% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Down 18% 5.56 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 95% 105.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Down 8% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Down 13% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Down 11% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Down 12% 8.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Down 17% 5.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Down 51% 44.9 shares