Polymarket Trader

rtaw

0xc5ee0532216300bdb6b454037f64f8abd2b5121c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $101.74
Realized PnL: $5.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $83.96
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $8.97
Potential payout: $9.03
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $8.81
Potential payout: $8.84
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.01

Lakers position

Spurs vs. Lakers

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$2

Suns position

Suns vs. Cavaliers

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Pistons position

Heat vs. Pistons

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: -$1

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Magic position

Magic vs. Pacers

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Kings

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Solana reach $300 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Solana reach $200 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.8% 24.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.9% 16.02 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 95% 11.58 shares
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?

No 99.6% 30.12 shares
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

No 99.9% 15.02 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 93% 5.38 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Thunder 68% 1.47 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

No 99.9% 93.1 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?

No 99.8% 30.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

No 99.7% 11.58 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?

No 99.9% 10.53 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?

No 99.8% 10.02 shares