No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.69
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.69
Polymarket Trader
c3e37
@ManickSadhukhan
0xc5f86d49716f176c6c723ced562bfe7abfc4cc26
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.53
- Realized PnL
- $9.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.83
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.83
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $16.39
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 23?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.01
- Potential payout
- $9.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 24?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 3?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 23?No 99.9% 9.01 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?No 81% 24.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 48% 20.83 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?No 99.9% 19.02 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?No 99.9% 20.02 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 61% 16.39 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?No 99.8% 20.08 shares
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 99.9% 29.81 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?No 99.8% 20.04 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.9% 26.76 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 31?No 99.9% 23.02 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 17?Yes 99.9% 29.65 shares