Polymarket Trader

Fluffthemagicdragon

0xc5fe4e2927af431482ae4bb820b9e122c7c4e320

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.33K
Realized PnL: $45.53K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $147.54K
Potential profit: $145.1K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$479.64

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.04K
Potential profit: $35.04K
User PnL: -$8.83K

Yes position

Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$3.25K

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.75K
Potential profit: $20.75K
User PnL: -$2.1K

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$974.67

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14K
Potential profit: $14K
User PnL: -$3.76K

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$1.8K

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$566.66

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$437.9

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4300 on September 1?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$1.88K

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.36K
Potential profit: $6.36K
User PnL: -$254.33

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$247.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $968.63
Potential payout: $5.25K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $511.88

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $927.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.07K
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $332.5

Yes position

Will the Baltimore Ravens win 12 or more regular season games?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $4.58K
User PnL: -$2.58K

Yes position

Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$492.25

Yes position

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.66K
User PnL: -$306.8

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$507.9

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$308.74

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$305.12

Dolphins position

Dolphins vs. Colts

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$480

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.49K

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Saturday?

Ends Jun 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.83K

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36K

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25K

No position

Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13K

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.92K

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

Yes position

Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

49ers position

49ers vs. Seahawks

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $722.78

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $586.58

Yes position

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $460.4

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.44

Chimaev position

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310

No position

Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.55

No position

Israel strike on Iran on June 29?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.18

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.62

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.35

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.94

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Yes position

Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.7% 3,804.09 shares
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.7% 4,349.8 shares
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.7% 6,823.91 shares
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.7% 31,852.74 shares
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7% 150,000 shares
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1% 125,000 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.8% 3,623.63 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 10,500 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 3,376.68 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 10,500 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 5,500 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.9% 5,000 shares