Polymarket Trader

JUCHA666

0xc6039044723342761f3f1d302a2b4c7499c221e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $294.42
Realized PnL: $176.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $63.36
Potential payout: $667
Potential profit: $603.64
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$36.68

Yes position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $207.78
Potential payout: $282.7
Potential profit: $74.92
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $147.78

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $42.14
Potential profit: $37.71
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$11.18

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.79
Potential profit: $13.79
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $10.99
Potential payout: $12.24
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $7.63
Potential profit: $7.53
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$2.91

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $5.22
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $4.54
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.62
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: -$0.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $49.66

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.39

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.68

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.73

Czechia position

World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

No position

Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $2.29

Canada position

World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Nets

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.4%
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Yes 21.2% 282.7 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 77% 6.49 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 98.2% 116.29 shares
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Yes 8.1% 133.4 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 53.6% 9.33 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 81.7% 6.12 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 81.7% 6.12 shares
World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada

Canada 39% 16.06 shares
World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada

Canada 31.1% 16.06 shares
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia

Czechia 99.9% 15.62 shares
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia

Czechia 67% 7.46 shares
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia

Czechia 62% 3.23 shares