No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.91K
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $112.95
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.93
Polymarket Trader
Isekai
@isekai
0xc607c7faffe03bf1c749c22ca172b898b6386b29
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.21K
- Realized PnL
- $4.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $301.95
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $28.05
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $51.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $851.68
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-08?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.24
No position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $376.01
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.46
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.33
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.43
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.49
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.45
Yes position
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $185
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.54
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.6
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $138.61
No position
Superform FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.97
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.56
No position
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.16
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.87
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.76
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.76
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.65
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.16
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 99% 3,535.5 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.3% 1,447.49 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.1% 4,800 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No 83% 499.99 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?No 42.8% 2.34 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?No 83.1% 1.2 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?No 52% 1.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 96% 849 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 99.8% 1,588 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.7% 775.3 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 99% 1,344 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.3% 1,300 shares