Yes position
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Polymarket Trader
lianshuzhong4564
0xc617591c16b1f65d5ddf22245d2a26d838deb183
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.75
- Realized PnL
- $27.51
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $1.83
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.89
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will 'Honey' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Bitcoin above $116000 on August 13?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the Progressive Conservatives win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $128,000 on October 12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes 98.9% 1.92 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 98.5% 1.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 21?No 94% 1.49 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 97.2% 2.79 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 92% 3.11 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 98.7% 3.15 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No 99.9% 3.8 shares
- Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 92.7% 1.4 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 1.91 shares
- Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes 97.4% 1.36 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 90% 3.66 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 94% 3.26 shares