Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $32.7K
- Potential profit
- $30.57K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$8.75K
Polymarket Trader
Mori1221
0xc621f24316452481715b80f85aa19134eba5e680
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.15K
- Realized PnL
- $7.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $28.37
- Potential payout
- $822.3
- Potential profit
- $793.93
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$135.64
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.23
- Potential profit
- $94.23
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.12
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.8
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.16
Kings position
Knicks vs. Kings
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Heat position
Heat vs. Bulls
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.9% 456.41 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 51% 31.41 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 99.8% 100 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.8% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 38% 10 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19?Yes 22% 100 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 68% 200 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 68% 200 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 68% 200 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19?Yes 16% 44.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETDown 4% 113.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown 3.2% 49.22 shares