No position
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $168.48
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $48.91
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$31.52
Polymarket Trader
Defilogist
@defilogist
0xc6232d922b2c537bc4a604d6bde24aa10c032195
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $294.48
- Realized PnL
- $307.69
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $126
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $74
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.75
No position
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.4
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.2
No position
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.8
No position
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.44
No position
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.34
No position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.8
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.58
No position
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.84
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.52
Yes position
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.27
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
No position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
No position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$6.4
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$26.4
No position
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 87% 137.63 shares
- Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 9.6% 26.09 shares
- Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 92% 100 shares
- Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 77% 199.99 shares
- Will MrBeast get married by December 31?Yes 57.2% 100 shares
- SBF released from custody in 2026?No 87% 160 shares
- Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 92% 217.39 shares
- SBF released from custody in 2026?No 91% 160 shares
- Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 76% 30 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 65% 110 shares
- Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 85% 260 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 84% 100 shares