Polymarket Trader

Tom2425

0xc6304ad83faaa411d81c44877ddeb648747837c5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.01
Realized PnL: $17.17
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mohamed Salah play in La Liga next?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $70.68
Potential profit: $62.52
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $14.21
Potential profit: $11.74
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $13.99
Potential profit: $8.54
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.3%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $9.71
Potential profit: $7.65
Multiplier: 4.71x
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $7.63
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $6.21
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.02
Potential profit: $7.02
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $6.71
Potential profit: $6.02
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.06
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.18
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $3.92
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $4.5
Potential profit: $3.25
Multiplier: 3.58x
User PnL: $0.26

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

England position

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 55.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.81
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.81x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Egypt position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

England 55.2% 1.81 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 15.5% 6.45 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 28% 3.57 shares
Will Mohamed Salah play in La Liga next?

Yes 1% 70.68 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 14.2% 7.02 shares
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 32% 5 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 24% 9.09 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Egypt 32% 3.44 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Egypt 29% 3.45 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 12% 22.22 shares
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 20% 5 shares