Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $121.67
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$44.83
Polymarket Trader
Vladimirforever
0xc6409b19b111687b42f63102b551910377d2ccbe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $429.6
- Realized PnL
- $982.59
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $135.96
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $997.05
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$74.04
Yes position
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $382.87
- Potential profit
- $382.87
- User PnL
- -$94.58
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $369.57
- Potential profit
- $369.57
- User PnL
- -$255
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $303.03
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $219.83
- Potential profit
- $219.83
- User PnL
- -$85.31
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.04
- Potential profit
- $214.04
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.15
- Potential profit
- $204.15
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.08
- Potential profit
- $204.08
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $21.68
- Potential payout
- $188.49
- Potential profit
- $166.81
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$38.32
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $138.65
- Potential payout
- $183.64
- Potential profit
- $44.99
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $38.65
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.82
- Potential profit
- $172.82
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $135.31
- Potential profit
- $129.36
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$19.05
Y
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.12
- Potential profit
- $127.12
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $118.06
- Potential profit
- $117.53
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.78
Yes position
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.76
- Potential profit
- $101.76
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.42
- Potential profit
- $70.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $50.5
- Potential profit
- $50.1
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.25
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.63
- Potential profit
- $40.63
- User PnL
- -$26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.43
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.94
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.92
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.19
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $66.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.16
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $61.54
No position
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.05
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $34.17
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.22
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.43
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.71
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
No position
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.28
No position
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.95
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Yes position
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$19.05
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.75
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$66.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes 96.6% 182.59 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Yes 12.8% 781.1 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?Yes 9.9% 50.5 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?Yes 18.5% 135.31 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?Yes 31.8% 188.49 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Yes 18.3% 54.62 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 0.7% 379.71 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 31% 214.03 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 26.3% 379.72 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 46.7% 428.07 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 77.3% 40.66 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?Yes 24.7% 382.87 shares