Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $145.83
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$54.17
Polymarket Trader
funnybeanbagdog
0xc6561aae1ce254d46530df274f3464a42556b737
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $564.39
- Realized PnL
- -$1.06K
- Win rate
- 27.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $219.05
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $892.87
- Multiplier
- 5.08x
- User PnL
- $19.05
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $12.98
- Potential payout
- $576.92
- Potential profit
- $563.94
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $7.77
- Potential payout
- $535.71
- Potential profit
- $527.95
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$7.23
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $8.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $325.17
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.83
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $21.44
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $170.87
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- $6.44
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $77.86
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $138.67
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $51.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $48.5
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $31.32
- Potential payout
- $75.47
- Potential profit
- $44.15
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$8.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $106.97
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
No position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.54
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.56
Yes position
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump attend UFC 327?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.52
Yes position
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.54
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.12
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$53
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 35% 142.86 shares
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes 27% 74.07 shares
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.4% 140 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.4% 750 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 53% 75.47 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.6% 576.92 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.8% 1,190.48 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18% 1,111.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp 95% 1,045.16 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.6% 833.33 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 24% 60 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.3% 1,000 shares