Polymarket Trader

jane4567

0xc659516cec21f80a4a9de12bae31936a1c5659c4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.7
Realized PnL: $55.97
Win rate: 35.3%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127
Potential profit: $127
User PnL: -$20.32

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $126.58
Potential profit: $123.61
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$7.03

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $84.91
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.78
Potential profit: $16.78
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $14.9
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$1.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ethereum above $2,500 on August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.62

No position

Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.43

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 21 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.13

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,100 on July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 24 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Trump mention $MAGA before Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trump position

Trump vs. Biden: Who raised more in June?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.08

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

No position

Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 26?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.1

Yes position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto/Bitcoin" during RNC speech?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,500 on August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 7% 28.57 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

16.6% 29.33 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

25% 20 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

56.2% 8.89 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 4.1% 121.95 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7.9% 126.58 shares
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

No 14.3% 16.78 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Yes 3% 83.33 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 16% 15.63 shares