No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.47K
- Potential profit
- $10.47K
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
0xC65e98E1F292dD4c25F1242924C4Ab0F759E1926-1769196608347
0xc65e98e1f292dd4c25f1242924c4ab0f759e1926
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $63.41
- Realized PnL
- -$171.2
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.93K
- Potential profit
- $6.93K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- User PnL
- -$63
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $650
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $241.38
- Potential profit
- $241.38
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.1
- Potential profit
- $183.1
- User PnL
- -$130
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $58.27
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $57.12
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.42
- Potential profit
- $90.42
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $31.17
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Football" this week? (February 15)
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $4.69
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $22.85
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.57
Yes position
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.09
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Yes position
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.79
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.09
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.44
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.19
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$54.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 0.9% 333.33 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 64% 4.69 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 74% 4.05 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?No 71% 183.1 shares
- Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes 0.2% 25.31 shares
- Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes 7.9% 25.32 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 7?Yes 46% 10.87 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 88.4% 45.23 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 33.33 shares
- Will the US strike Iran next?Yes 3.3% 454.55 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US 39.4% 83.33 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes 99.6% 183.36 shares