Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $414.96
- Potential payout
- $5.65K
- Potential profit
- $5.23K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$52.06
Polymarket Trader
0xc6628e0ca87e439Bba57294Dc8Fd7A503a7bB919-1772376149147
0xc6628e0ca87e439bba57294dc8fd7a503a7bb919
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.94K
- Realized PnL
- $14.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.93K
- Potential payout
- $4.49K
- Potential profit
- $561.85
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$176.84
No position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $3.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$56.06
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $97.43
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.58K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $22.43
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $2.97K
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $128.46
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $393.83
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $915.3
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$105.3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.07K
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $380.13
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $38.87
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $29.24
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.76
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $235
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $77
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $123
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$27
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $1.78K
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $86.86
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13.78
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $79.81
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $128.22
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $59.88
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$7.76
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $93.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$50.15
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $175.73
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $278.31
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$38.5
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $114
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $881.99
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $318
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $96.31
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $28.83
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $17.86
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$7.14
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $870.11
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $130.02
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $33.87
No position
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $733.07
- Potential payout
- $810.02
- Potential profit
- $76.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $49.05
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $777.78
- Potential profit
- $772.72
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.2%
- Current value
- $611.95
- Potential payout
- $735.96
- Potential profit
- $124.01
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $38.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $996.14
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $886.33
Yes position
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $875.38
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $825.11
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $708.59
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $628.77
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.89
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $579.45
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.67
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $436.59
No position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.54
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.7
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.28
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.36
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.22
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $330.6
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.44
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.71
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.28
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.67
No position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.4% 400 shares
- Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No 86% 1,178 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 90.2% 205.9 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 89% 300 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 40% 600 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 86.5% 148.06 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 34% 235.29 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 92% 468.2 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 38% 263.16 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 84.2% 241 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95% 999.81 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 22% 475 shares