No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $320.05
- Potential payout
- $370
- Potential profit
- $49.95
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $42.55
Polymarket Trader
0xc66e8e86ad78d7fc4f60283da75aa6fc2300cafe
0xc66e8e86ad78d7fc4f60283da75aa6fc2300cafe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $320.05
- Realized PnL
- $686.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.84K
N
No position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022?
Ends Sep 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.7K
N
No position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?
Ends Jan 6, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.16K
N
No position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022?
Ends Nov 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.53K
N
No position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022?
Ends Jul 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.88K
No position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021?
Ends Nov 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.1K
N
No position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 1, 2022?
Ends May 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.13K
Yes position
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 4, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8K
Yes position
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 4, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.34K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022?
Ends Jan 6, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4K
No position
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67K
Yes position
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88K
No position
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89K
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022?
Ends Oct 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
Democrat position
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York?
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022?
Ends Dec 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56K
No position
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5K
Democratic position
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
Y
Yes position
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
No position
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022?
Ends Jul 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 75% 370 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 1.54 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.2% 335 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.8% 333.4 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 85.7% 317 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Yes 49.3% 248.55 shares
- Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes 2.9% 500 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes 99.7% 147 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 93.8% 105 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No 99.5% 15 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No 95% 15 shares
- Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No 97.3% 30 shares